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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction is an expert methodology.

By Philip Tetlock & Dan Gardner · Free
Specimen 01 · Live diagnosisSuperforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Input

“I've been trying to apply Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction but I'm not sure where to start.”

Diagnosis
I want to apply Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction to my situation.
Full transcript ↓
Calibrated referenceagent-skills.ai
The gap

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

The solution

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

You bring
  • Your situation or challenge related to Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
You get
  • Expert guidance applying Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
  • Structured approach to implementation
In action

Watch the methodology work.

Two specimens from a single real session: the full transcript and the skill answering live in the channel where the work happens.

Fig.01A real session, unedited
In-app · assistant
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of PredictionClaude
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
I want to apply Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction to my situation. Can you help me get started?
I've been trying to apply Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction but I'm not sure where to start.
Reply to Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
What the skill is doing
01Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Fig.02The same skill, in the channel you already use
WhatsApp · live
9:41
STSuperforecasting: The Art and Science of Predictiontyping…
Messages are end-to-end encrypted. No one outside of this chat can read them.
Today
I've been trying to apply Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction but I'm not sure where to start.9:14✓✓
I want to apply Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction to my situation.9:14
Message

The same skill, where the work happens.

No new app to learn. The methodology runs over the WhatsApp Business API, so the answer lands as a reply in the thread you’re already in — same rigour, zero context-switch.

Reads the situation, names the pattern, returns one concrete next move.
Delivered in seconds, inside a conversation that already exists.
Specimen · WhatsApp Business API · live
Capabilities

What it does, specifically.

Each capability is a distinct move drawn straight from the source methodology — not a generic assistant guessing.

CapabilityC-01

Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Tested

Graded before it shipped.

Every skill is scored against independent scenarios for methodology fidelity before it goes live — not vibes, a rubric.

What it produces
OutputD-01

Keybinding Configuration

The primary deliverable - exact JSON to add to config

OutputD-02

Corrected Configuration

When fixing broken config, provide the corrected version

OutputD-03

Available Actions Reference

When user wants to explore what's customizable

The source

Grounded in the original work.

Every answer traces back to a real source and the practitioner who wrote it — not a secondhand summary. Here is the source of record.

Source authorA-01

Philip Tetlock & Dan Gardner

Missing required input data to perform evaluation

Status · Inspired by Philip Tetlock & Dan Gardner’s work — not yet claimed. Are you Philip Tetlock & Dan Gardner?
Get started

Put it to work.

agent-skills runs as MCP — connect it once and Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction works in Claude, ChatGPT, Cursor, or any MCP-compatible client. Sign in to see your config and accept the terms.